Harvest Estimates - July 2017

Yields not reaching last year’s value

11.08.2017
Code: 270150-17
 

Based on the second estimate of this year’s harvest as at 15 July 2017 it is expected that the production of basic cereals is to reach an amount of 6 709 thous. tonnes and the production of rape is to be 1 199 thous. tonnes. Compared to the above-average harvest of the previous year, the production of basic cereals is down by 1 020 thous. tonnes (-13.2%) and rape by 160 thous. tonnes (-11.8%). Poppy seed production is expected to be 23 thous. tonnes, which is by a fifth lower than in the last year (-19.8%).

The estimated production of basic cereals (excluding grain maize) in the amount of 6 709  thous. tonnes is by 13.2% lower than the last year’s above-average production. The expected drop of production by 1 020 thous. tonnes is entirely due to a decrease of the per hectare yield to 5.32 t/ha (-13.1%), while the sowing area of 1 262 thous. hectares remained almost unchanged compared to 2016 (-0.1%). This year’s estimated production of basic cereals is lower than the last five-year average as well as the ten-year one (-6.5% and -4.2%, respectively).

As for all types of basic cereals, a decrease in per hectare yields is expected compared to the yields in 2016. An increase in the production owing to a major enlargement of the sowing areas is estimated only as for spring wheat (+65 thous. tonnes) and oat (+20 thous. tonnes). Harvest of rye is estimated to remain basically unchanged compared to 2016. As for other cereals, a decrease in production is expected; the most marked drop will be at winter wheat (-854 thous. tonnes), spring barley (-117 thous. tonnes), and winter barley (-109 thous. tonnes).

Based on the July estimate, the following harvest is expected: winter wheat in an amount of 4 462 thous. tonnes (-16.1%) with the per hectare yield of 5.68 t/ha (-13.5%), spring barley in an amount of 1 090 thous. tonnes (-9.7%) with the per hectare yield of 4.73 t/ha (-13.2%), winter barley in an amount of 528 thous. tonnes (-17.1%) with the per hectare yield of 5.44 t/ha (-11.3%), spring wheat in an amount of 204 thous. tonnes (+46.6%) with the per hectare yield of 4.38 t/ha (-3.5%), triticale in an amount of 168 thous. tonnes (-12.8%) with the per hectare yield of 4.64 t/ha (-4.9%), oat in an amount of 152 thous. tonnes (+15.1%) with the per hectare yield of 3.45 t/ha (-2.0%), and rye in an amount of 105 thous. tonnes (+0.3%) with the per hectare yield of 4.71 t/ha (-5.4%).

The rape production is estimated to be 1 199 thous. tonnes, which is by 160 thous. tonnes lower than last year (-11.8%) due to a drop of the per hectare yield to 3.04 t/ha (-12.1%). The sowing area slightly expanded compared to 2016 to 394 thous. ha (+0.3%); it is the third highest value in the survey history. A higher sowing area of rape was recorded only in 2012 and 2013, when it exceeded 400 thous. hectares. When compared to a five-year average, the estimated rape production is by 10.6% lower (sowing area +0.1%; yield -10.7%); it is comparable to the ten-year average (harvest -0.1%; sowing area +4.9%; yield -4.8%).

This year’s production of poppy seed is estimated to be 23 thous. tonnes, which is almost by a fifth lower compared to 2016 (-19.8%) due to a drop in the per hectare yield to 0.70 t/ha (- 2.5%) and the sowing area to 33 thous. ha (-8.3%).

More detailed information on estimated per hectare yields and production of peas, selected varieties of fruit and vegetables crops in the Czech Republic, as a whole and broken down by region, are given in the following publication ‘Harvest Estimates – Operative Report as at 15 July 2017’.

__________________
Notes:
Responsible head at the CZSO: Jiří Hrbek, (+420) 274 052 331, e-mail: jiri.hrbek@czso.cz

Contact person: Jiří Hrbek, (+420) 274 052 331, e-mail: jiri.hrbek@czso.cz
Data source: Statistical survey - Harvest Estimates (Zem V7) and Areas under Crops Survey (Osev 3-01)
End of data collection: 14 July 2017
End of data processing: 10 August 2017
Following outcomes: Harvest Estimates – Operative Report as at 15 July 2017

https://www.czso.cz/csu/czso/harvest-estimates-operative-report-as-at-15-july-2017

Areas under Crops Survey – 2017
https://www.czso.cz/csu/czso/areas-under-crops-survey-as-at-31-may-2017

Update procedure: Harvest Estimates – Operative Report as at 15 August 2017; to be published on 8 September 2017 

  • askl081117.docx
  • Annex:
  • Table 1 Yield and production forecast (selected crops, in tonnes per hectare and tonnes, indices)
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Published: 11.08.2017
The data are valid as of the release date of the publication.


Contact: Information Services Unit - Headquarters, tel.: +420 274 056 789, email: infoservis@czso.cz