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Business cycle monitoring and analysis a) Business cycle trends in transition economies of Central Europe
- similarities and differencies
- harmonisation and convergency of the business cycle between EU and newly adhering countries
- main features of the business cycle in respective transition economies
cycle on the demand side of the economy (household consumption, investments, government consumption, net exports)
cycle on the supply side of the economy (agriculture, industry, services) labour market and business cycle implications of monetary and fiscal policy
b) Analytical tools of the business cycle
concept of measurement of business cycle (estimate of product and production not covered)
estimate of the turning point (cyclical indicators and their application)
- Bayesian Analysis of Output Gap
Christophe Planas, A. Rossi, Joint Research Centre of European Commission, Italy G. Fiorentini, University of Florence, department of Statistics, Italy
- Tendencies and Factors of the Business Cycle Development in the Czech Republic
Slavoj Czesaný, Czech Statistical Office, Czech Republic
- New Needs of Futures Studies for Statistics
Éva Hideg, Futures Studies Centre, Hungary
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