Harvest forecast - June 2016
Good Harvests of Cereals and Rape Are Expected
Pursuant to the first estimates of this year harvest as at 10 June 2016 it is supposed that the production of basic cereals is to reach an amount of 6 995 thous. tonnes of grain and the production of rape is to be 1 313 thous. tonnes. The production of basic cereals will be down by 736 thous. tonnes (- 9.5%), compared to the above-average harvest of the last year, and the production of rape is expected to be higher by 57 thous. tonnes (+ 4.5%).
The estimated production of basic cereals (excluding grain maize) in an amount of 6 995 thous. tonnes of grain is by 736 thous. tonnes (- 9.5%) lower than the last year above-average production. The year-on-year decrease in the production has been caused both by an expected decline in the per hectare yield to 5.54 t/ha (- 6.6%) and in areas under these crops by 3.0% to 1 264 thous. hectares. Significant decreases in sowing areas were recorded for spring wheat, spring barley, and oat; the per hectare yield, compared year-on-year (y-o-y), is expected to be lower for all types of basic cereals, except for spring wheat and triticale. This year estimated production of basic cereals is by 1.0% lower than the five-year average yet by 2.7% higher than the ten-year one.
Winter wheat, which is sown on one third of total areas under crops (32.8%), remains the most widely spread crop on our country fields. Its estimated harvest is 4 780 thous. tonnes and that is by 275 thous. tonnes (- 5.4%) lower than that in 2015. The decline in production is determined, by a decrease in the estimated per hectare yield by 9.1% to 5.91 t/ha. The winter wheat sowing area was expanded year-on-year by 4.0% to 809 thous. hectares.
Areas under crop of spring wheat dropped to 31 thous. hectares (- 40.7%) and although the estimated per hectare yield is to be higher at 4.44 t/ha (+ 4.2%) its assumed production is to decline in a significant manner by 38.2% to 136 thous. tonnes.
The expected production of spring barley is in an amount of 1 111 thous. tonnes, it is by 309 thous. tonnes (- 21.8%) lower than the last year one. Its sowing area was reduced by 15.2% to 222 thous. hectares, (y-o-y), and the assumed per hectare yield fell to 5.01 t/ha
(- 7.7%) as well.
This year expected production of winter barley is to be by 4.0% lower, y-o-y, at the level of 548 thous. tonnes. The decrease is caused by an assumed per hectare yield lower by 3.5% to 5.27 t/ha and by a slightly decrease in its sowing area by 0.5% to 104 thous. hectares.
(- 1.0%), lower than the last year final yield.
The expected harvest of oat shall decrease by 15.0% to 131 thous. tonnes compared to that of 2015. The assumed decrease goes to a reduced sowing area of 38 thous. hectares (- 11.4%) and estimated lower per hectare yield of 3.50 t/ha (- 4.1%) compared to that of the last year.
The production of triticale in this year is estimated to 187 thous. tonnes (- 7.8%), y-o-y. The estimated average per hectare yield at 4.72 t/ha is the same as the final one in the last year and its sowing area of 40 thous. hectares is by 7.7% lower.
Rape is the most frequently cultivated crop but winter wheat. This year it is sown on 16.0% of the total areas under crops. Its sowing area has been increased by 7.3% to 393 thous. hectares following a two-year decline. Although its estimated per hectare yield of 3.34 t/ha (- 2.6%) is lower, y-o-y, the expected production of rape of 1 313 thous. tonnes is by 57 thous. tonnes higher (+ 4.5%). The estimated rape production is higher than both five-year and ten-year average (+ 2.7% and + 13.9%, respectively).
More detailed information on estimated per hectare yields and production of selected crops in the Czech Republic, as a whole and broken by region, are given in the following publication ‘Harvest Forecasts – Operative Report as at 10 June 2016’. Information on the area and structure of sowing areas is released in the publication of ‘Census of Sowing Areas - 2016’.
Responsible head at the CZSO: Jiří Hrbek, (+420) 274 052 331, e-mail: jiri.hrbek@czso.cz
Contact person: Jiří Hrbek, (+420) 274 052 331, e-mail: jiri.hrbek@czso.cz
Data source: Harvest Forecasts and Census of Sowing Areas
End of data collection: 10 June 2016
End of data processing: 30 June 2016
Following outcomes: Harvest Forecasts – Operative Report as at 10 June 2016
https://www.czso.cz/csu/czso/harvest-forecast-operative-report-as-at-10-june-2016
Census of Sowing Areas - 2016
https://www.czso.cz/csu/czso/areas-under-crops-survey-as-at-31-may-2016
Update procedure: Harvest Forecasts –July 2016; to be published on 12 August 2016
- year 2023 | September 2023 | July 2023 | June 2023
- year 2022 | September 2022 | July 2022 | June 2022
- year 2021 | September 2021 | July 2021 | June 2021
- year 2020 | September 2020 | July 2020 | June 2020
- year 2019 | September 2019 | July 2019 | June 2019
- year 2018 | September 2018 | July 2018 | June 2018
- year 2017 | September 2017 | July 2017 | June 2017
- year 2016 | September 2016 | July 2016 | June 2016
- year 2015 | September 2015 | July 2015 | June 2015
- year 2014 | September 2014 | July 2014 | June 2014
- year 2013 | September 2013 | July 2013 | June 2013
- year 2012 | September 2012 | July 2012 | June 2012
- year 2011 | September 2011 | July 2011 | June 2011
- year 2010 | September 2010 | July 2010 | June 2010
Published: 04.07.2016
The data are valid as of the release date of the publication.
Contact: Information Services Unit - Headquarters, tel.: +420 274 056 789, email: infoservis@czso.cz