Consumer price indices - inflation - September 2013

Year-on-year inflation slowed down again

09.10.2013
Code: r-7101-13
 




Consumer prices in September dropped by 0.4% compared with August. This decline came primarily from a seasonal price decrease in 'recreation and culture' and a moderate price reduction in further divisions of consumer basket. The year-on-year growth of consumer prices decelerated to 1.0% in September (1.3% in August) and was the lowest since March 2010.

The month-on-month decline in consumer prices in 'recreation and culture' came similarly to previous years mainly from the drop in prices of package holidays by 13.4% due to the end of summer season. The price drop in 'food and non-alcoholic beverages' was influenced primarily by lower prices of vegetables by 5.6% (of which potato prices by 13.2%) and prices of fruit by 5.1%. Prices of flour went down by 1.2%, yoghurts by 4.5%, sugar by 1.1%, cocoa by 1.7%, coffee by 1.6%, tea by 2.2%. In 'furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance', prices of goods and services for routine household maintenance were slightly lower in particular. In 'communication', prices of mobile phones and prices of telephone and telefax services dropped (-1.5% and -1.3%, respectively).

A contrary effect on the consumer price level owed mainly to a rise in prices of clothing and footwear (2.3% and 5.5%, respectively). In 'alcoholic beverages, tobacco', prices of tobacco products rose by 1.6%. In food, prices of pork, milk, butter, vegetable fats were higher (2.7%, 1.7%, 1.6%, 3.5%, respectively). As the new school year started, fees in kindergartens increased by 2.2%, in after school care centres by 3.9%, in art schools (base level) by 1.1%, and in foreign language teaching by 3.0%. Similarly, in 'restaurants and hotels', prices of meals in school canteens rose by 2.0%, accommodation in boarding schools by 0.9% and in university college by 1.8%.

Prices of goods in total and prices of services dropped (-0.1% and -0.8%, respectively).

In terms of the year-on-year comparison, in September, the increase in consumer prices was 1.0%, i.e. 0.3 percentage point down compared with August. A deceleration of the price rise or a deeper price drop came, to a different extent, from the majority of the consumer basket divisions. A slowdown of the y-o-y price growth was shown primarily in 'food and non-alcoholic beverages', where prices of potatoes were higher by 62.9% (103.4% in August), fruit prices by 5.0% (11.2% in August), flour by 15.2% (20.1% in August), pork by 5.6% (7.1% in August), yoghurts by 1.5% (4.7% in August). In 'transport', automotive fuel prices were lower by 3.1%, y-o-y, in September (-0.7% in August). This was due to their significant m-o-m increase in September 2012.

The biggest upward effect on the y-o-y consumer price level came, as before, from prices in 'food and non-alcoholic beverages', where the growth of milk prices accelerated to 14.4%, cheese to 9.6%, butter to 21.9%. The other more important upward effect owed to prices in 'housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels' and to prices in 'alcoholic beverages, tobacco'. In 'housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels', the net actual rentals went up by 2.2%, water supply by 6.6%, sewerage collection by 7.1%, prices of electricity by 3.3%, heat and hot water by 3.9%. Prices of natural gas were lower, year-on-year (-6.9%). In 'alcoholic beverages, tobacco', prices of spirits increased by 1.0%, wine by 4.3%, beer by 3.0%, tobacco products by 4.4%.

The reduction of the y-o-y price growth came from the decrease in prices in 'communication', where prices of telephone and telefax services were lower (-11.8%). The drop in prices in 'furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance' was influenced primarily by lower prices of household appliances (-3.9%).

Prices of goods in total and prices of services increased (1.3% and 0.7%, respectively). The overall consumer price index excluding imputed rentals was 101.2%, year-on-year.

Inflation rate, i.e. the increase in the average consumer price index in the twelve months to September 2013 compared with the average CPI in the previous twelve months, stood at 1.8% in September.

According to preliminary data of Eurostat, the year-on-year increase in the average harmonized index of consumer prices (HICP) 1) in the EU28 member states was 1.5% in August, i.e. 0.2 percentage points down on July. Prices grew most in Estonia (3.6%). On the other hand, a year-on-year price decrease occurred in Greece (-1.0%), Bulgaria (-0.7%) and Latvia (-0.1%) in August. In Germany, the price rise slowed down to 1.6% in August (1.9% in July). In Slovakia, the price increase decelerated to 1.4% in August (1.6% in July). According to preliminary calculations, the HICP in the Czech Republic in September 2013 dropped by 0.3%, month-on-month, and rose by 1.0% (1.2% in August), year-on-year. The MUICP (Monetary Union Index of Consumer Prices) flash estimate for the Eurozone in September 2013 was 1.1%, y-o-y, as Eurostat announced (more information on the Eurostat’s web pages: HICP).
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1) So far, imputed rentals have been excluded from the HICP.

Analysis - Consumer price indices in Q3 2013


Notes:
Responsible manager of the CZSO: Jiri Mrazek, Department Director, email: jiri.mrazek@czso.cz
Contact: Pavla Sediva, phone (+420) 274052138, email: pavla.sediva@czso.cz
Method of data collection: Direct field survey of prices, centrally surveyed prices and reporting
End of data collection: 20th day of the reference month/ End of data processing: 3rd day of the month that follows the reference month
Related publications: 7101-13 Consumer Price Indices – Basic Breakdown (periodicity: monthly) and 7103-13 Consumer Price Indices – Detailed Breakdown (periodicity: annually)
Related documents available on the CZSO website: 710344-13 Consumer Price Indices – Detailed Breakdown (periodicity: monthly)
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Next News Release: 11 November 2013

Not edited for language.



  • aisc100913.doc

  • Annexes:
  • Table 1 Consumer prices (indices, inflation rate)
  • Table 2 Consumer prices (decomposition of increase – month-on-month, core inflation)
  • Table 3 Consumer prices (decomposition of increases – month-on-month, year-on-year)
  • Table 4 Consumer prices (social groups of households - indices, inflation rate)
  • Table 5 Consumer prices (analytical table, specific consumer price indices)
  • Graph 1 Consumer prices (year-on-year changes, changes on base year)
  • Graph 2 HICP – monthly data (2005 = 100)
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Published: 09.10.2013
The data are valid as of the release date of the publication.


Contact: Information Services Unit - Headquarters, tel.: +420 274 056 789, email: infoservis@czso.cz